Mr 25 Percent

Mitt Romney and his sons are smiling brightly as recent polls from Iowa show Mitt on top and Newt Gingrich – his latest rival – fading. Ron Paul will never get the GOP nomination. The overwhelming majority of Republicans are sane and not motivated by racist, paranoid views despite what the Democrats say.

Just out of curiosity, this morning I checked the Real Clear Politics Average on the eve of the 2008 Iowa caucus. Here are the stats:

Candidate RCP Average Final Result
Mike Huckabee 29.7% 34.4%
Mitt Romney 26.7% 25.2%
John McCain 11.8% 13%
Fred Thompson 11.7% 13.4%
Ron Paul 7.3% 9.9%
Rudy Giuliani 6% 3.4%

Let’s compare that with the current RCP Average:

Candidate RCP Average
Mitt Romney 21.6%
Ron Paul 21.2%
Rick Santorum 14%
Newt Gingrich 14%
Rick Perry 11.8%
Michelle Bachmann 8.6%
Jon Huntsman 2.6%

Amazing. After campaigning for six years; spending millions in negative ads against his opponents; being declared the winner of nearly all debates by the pundits; Mitt Romney is still stuck at 25% when margin of error is taken into account. Simply amazing.

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